There will likely be a strong seasonal component to COVID. Ofer Levy with Boston Children's Hospital painted a likely scenario: “We're going to see it come and go, and be worse in the winter and better in the summer,” Levy said.
. The COVID-19 levels in Boston-area wastewater are dropping fast and low, but experts are confident another variant is likely to emerge.
When I ask experts how to think about this current moment and what the future looks like, I consistently hear optimism about the spring — but after that, there’s a lot less certainty. Here are two things experts are saying about the pandemic’s future: There will likely be a strong seasonal component to COVID. Ofer Levy, director of the Precision Vaccines Program at Boston Children's Hospital, painted a likely scenario: “We're going to see it come and go, and be worse in the winter and better in the summer,” Levy said. “We might end up in a pattern where there are vaccines that come out in September, October time that are matching the strains that are circulating.
Life could continue to be hard for those at high-risk. Jacob Lemieux, an infectious disease specialist at Massachusetts General Hospital, said depending on the risk COVID poses to you, you might face an entirely different reality. “This is quickly transitioning into an epidemic of the vulnerable,” Lemieux said. “The largely healthy, the immunized can likely return to pre-pandemic life with little risk to life or limb, so to speak.
“Hospital capacity is really the key metric for when we’ll need to move back to control measures,” said Andrew Lover, an epidemiologist at the University of Massachusetts, Amherst. However, it’s a lagging indicator. So, he said, wastewater surveillance is an important tool and should be used routinely in communities across the state. The Massachusetts Water Resources Authority deserves a lot of credit for doing this monitoring in the Boston-area and making the data publicly available.
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