When everyone sounds like a weather forecaster, who should people trust?

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When everyone sounds like a weather forecaster, who should people trust?
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Many self-proclaimed “weather nerds” glean information from books and the internet while adding a touch of local knowledge. But professional meteorologists worry some try too hard to be first, issuing forecasts based on premature, unreliable information.

that he will “save your life someday.” With a fedora tugged down over his head, he holds live chats to criticize government meteorologists and talk about his unique brand of weather math.Death toll rises to 5 in wild California storms as officials assess damage, warn of flood risk

Sheckter says: “I can read weather models but not to the degree the NWS can. With my discussions, I go into details of how and why it’s happening and how it relates to our area.” Ensemble forecasting compensates by running dozens of predictions using slightly different estimates for the gaps, adjusting numbers for temperature, wind and precipitation. The result is a range of possible outcomes.

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