WHERE THE GOP RACE STANDS. We've now had a few weeks of a multicandidate race for the 2024 Republican presidential nomination. It's not where it eventually will be — some new candidates will undoubtedly join the race in the coming weeks and months. But there is more frequent polling than there was…
WHERE THE GOP RACE STANDS. We've now had a few weeks of a multicandidate race for the 2024 Republican presidential nomination. It's not where it eventually will be — some new candidates will undoubtedly join the race in the coming weeks and months. But there is more frequent polling than there was a few months ago, and it is possible to get an idea of the contours of the race as it stands at this moment.
Subscribe today to the Washington Examiner magazine that will keep you up to date with what's going on in Washington. SUBSCRIBE NOW: Just $1.00 an issue! First, a note — the polls are all over the place. There is an Emerson poll, taken in late February, that showed Trump with a 30-point lead. There is a Susquehanna poll, taken just a few days earlier, that pegged Trump's lead at 2 points. A Fox News poll before that had Trump up 15 points, while a Harvard-Harris poll a few days earlier had Trump up by 23. A Quinnipiac poll before that had Trump leading by 6 points, and a Reuters-Ipsos poll had Trump up by 12.
At the moment, though, there is an unstated longing in much analysis of the race coming from Republican and conservative observers. They want the Republican Party to move on from Trump, and they are looking for signs that the party is, in fact, moving on. But the numbers are what they are. At the moment, Trump remains the dominant force in the presidential race. That might change once the race is fully underway. But for that to happen, a lot of Republican minds will have to change.
That leaves the Justice Department, which is investigating the Trump classified documents matter as well as Trump's actions surrounding the Jan. 6, 2021, Capitol riot. The documents case will be much harder to make after the discovery that President Joe Biden also mishandled classified documents. Trump supporters, and perhaps others, will likely see a fundamental unfairness if Trump is prosecuted while the Biden case goes away. Finally, there is the DOJ's Jan.
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