Who will win tomorrow night's South Carolina DemDebate? FiveThirtyEight and Ipsos are interviewing the same group of voters before and after to track it:
At this point in the primary season, the field has usually started to shrink, but no such luck here in 2020: There will becandidates in Tuesday’s debate — hosted by CBS News in Charleston, South Carolina — up from six debaters at the last event. With the state’s primary looming this Saturday, we once again partnered withto track how the debate affected likely primary voters’ feelings about the candidates.
After three voting contests in which he has either outright won the state or done extremely well, Sen. Bernie Sanders is now the top candidate voters are considering supporting, with 46 percent listing him as a possible choice. Former Vice President Joe Biden isn’t too far behind, though, with 38 percent considering him, and Sen. Elizabeth Warren is a bit behind Biden at 32 percent.
, Bloomberg has not made a particularly good impression so far — his net favorability rating is negative, making him the only candidate who is currently disliked more than he is liked.Respondents’ estimates of the likelihood, from 0 percent to 100 percent , that each candidate would beat Trump if they were the Democratic nominee
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