Without COVID-19 vaccines, death toll would be much higher: Pfizer analysis

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Without COVID-19 vaccines, death toll would be much higher: Pfizer analysis
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In the wake of the tragic milestone of 1 million official COVID-19 deaths in the U.S., a new analysis shows that without vaccines, the virus would have likely claimed more than 100,000 additional lives in 2021.

"With this model, I don’t see the numbers falling out of range and I do suspect that they are a reasonable representation of what could’ve happened in the absence of COVID-19 vaccines," Dr. Amesh Adalja, FIDSA, infectious disease specialist at the Johns Hopkins University Center for Health Security, told ABC News.

"In some ways, it could even be a potential undercount," John Brownstein, Ph.D., epidemiologist and chief innovation officer at Boston Children’s Hospital, and ABC contributor, said. "We’ve seen in real-world analysis or modeling studies like this one that have shown the role that vaccines have played … and hopefully, this is one more additional data point to help reaffirm how these vaccines play such a pivotal role in changing the course of this pandemic," Brownstein said.The new Pfizer vaccine analysis estimates the company's vaccine prevented 8.7 million symptomatic cases, 690,000 hospitalizations and 110,000 deaths in 2021.

Although hundreds of Americans still die of COVID-19 every day, doctors on the frontlines said there is a marked difference in the pre-and post-vaccine era.

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