News comes as the city announces no new cases for the first time in over two months.
On 3/19/20 at 8:44 AM EDTThe death toll in Wuhan from COVID-19 is far lower than it was first thought to be, scientists have announced. After analyzing all the symptomatic cases in the city where the outbreak of the new coronavirus is thought to have begun, the team found 1.4 percent of those infected died., come as the city announces it has had no new cases of the virus for the first time in over two months.
"Estimation of true case numbers—necessary to determine the severity per case—is challenging in the setting of an overwhelmed healthcare system that cannot ascertain cases effectively," they wrote."Therefore...our approach has been to use a range of publicly available and recently published data sources...to build a picture of the full number of cases and deaths by age group."
They said that compared to the death rate for people aged between 30 and 59, people 29 and under were slightly less likely to die. After symptoms developed, those 60 and above were 5.1 times more likely to die. Baker warned that because the cases assessed all came from China, the findings may not be applicable elsewhere in the world. He also said other factors that may impact fatality rate, such as healthcare facilities and the level of experience in treating infections, were not estimated for."Furthermore, the numbers may be an underestimate of the number of cases and deaths associated with COVID-19 due to limited access to all cases during the development of the epidemic in Wuhan.
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