Coronavirus: 'Biggest risk to global growth since the Great Recession'

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Coronavirus: 'Biggest risk to global growth since the Great Recession'
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U.S. financial regulators are facing one of their greatest challenges since the financial crisis: how to take control of mounting investor fears without stoking a panic

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In some of the more severe hypothetical scenarios of how this could play out, the outbreak threatens to expose lingering dangers that the Fed and other regulators have long been watching — from the record-high level of debt held by businesses to the unpredictable behavior of ultra-fast automated stock traders.

If people begin “going less to the movies, to bars, to restaurants,” said Torsten Slok, chief economist at Deutsche Bank Securities, that would be a “big deal” in economic terms. If the virus starts affecting people’s ability to go into work, “banks will first lose the ability to make a lot of loans in a productive fashion because companies will be shuttering down,” Bove said. “The second thing that happens is existing loans start to go bad; in other words, companies that have taken out meaningful amounts of debt can’t repay the debt because they don’t have the revenues that allow them to do so.

There’s less data on how an algorithm responds in a downturn, given that the practice has risen in popularity during one of the longest periods of market growth in history. Defenders of high-frequency trading say the practice helps grease the wheels of the markets by making it easier for everyone to buy and sell at more accurate prices.Vanguard explained in an April 2019 blog post“There's a long history of volatility in the marketplace that pre-dates HFTs,” said John Ameriks, global head of Vanguard Quantitative Equity Group.

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