Why have gun sales slowed? Concerns about the breakdown of law and order during the pandemic have calmed
the world’s most heavily armed country, with a per-capita rate of gun ownership more than twice that of the runner-up . Gun ownership has been. But demand fluctuates in response to the political mood, mass shootings and other events. Sales spiked in spring 2020, as Americans worried that covid lockdowns might presage stricter arms control and also about a broader breakdown in social order.
Though sales remain elevated compared to pre-pandemic levels, declines are occurring across all states studied, each of which has its own laws governing background checks. Analysis by SAAF chief economist Jurgen Brauer andshows a median 31% drop for handguns and 20% for long guns in states won by Donald Trump in the 2020 election, and 27% for handguns and 17% for long guns in states won by Joe Biden.
Why have sales slowed? Concerns about the breakdown of law and order during the pandemic have calmed, reckons Timothy Lytton, an expert on the American gun industry at Georgia State University. The surge in sales was driven by two types of concerns, he says. Some people who support gun rights are worried about the government growing too big through mandates, such as lockdowns, that restrict individual liberty.
In 2022 the Supreme Court will issue an opinion on whether to uphold New York’s restrictions on concealed weapons. It will be the first case related to theof the constitution—which guarantees the right to bear arms—in more than a decade. Striking down the New York law might suggest greater challenges ahead for states that want to restrict the ownership of guns, explains Mr Lytton. That could actually dampen demand for guns, since future supply might seem more assured.
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